The decline in American tourism hits Mexico and the Caribbean: Everything you need to know

Mexico joins Jamaica, Bahamas, Barbados, Virgin Islands, Cuba, and others in the Caribbean facing a sudden decline in U.S. tourist arrivals in the last month of this year due to shifting travel trends. Despite the region’s usual appeal, with its beautiful beaches, rich culture, and vibrant tourism scenes, December saw a notable dip in visitors from the U.S. This decline can be attributed to a variety of factors, including changing travel preferences, economic challenges, and increased competition from other destinations. While these Caribbean spots continue to offer unique experiences, the decrease in U.S. arrivals signals the need for the region to adapt and reassess its appeal to maintain its position as a top tourist destination. Understanding these shifts is key for both travelers and the tourism industry in the Caribbean.

Mexico: A Slight Decline Doesn’t Diminish Its Appeal

Mexico remains the most popular destination for U.S. travelers, even though it experienced a minor decline of 5.92% in 2025 compared to 2024. With over 12 million U.S. visitors, the country still dominates the international tourism market. While the year saw some ups and downs, including a slight 1.11% drop in November, Mexico’s proximity, vibrant culture, and varied offerings keep it at the forefront of U.S. travel. Despite some challenges in 2025, Mexico continues to be a go-to destination for U.S. tourists year after year.

 

Month 2025 Originating 2024 Originating YOY Change (Absolute) YOY Change (%)
January 1,185,480 1,166,899 18,581 1.59%
February 1,182,457 1,266,229 -83,772 -6.62%
March 1,482,010 1,496,712 -14,702 -0.98%
April 1,134,629 1,103,019 31,610 2.87%
May 1,115,027 1,159,467 -44,440 -3.83%
June 1,321,655 1,356,123 -34,468 -2.54%
July 1,342,122 1,302,838 39,284 3.01%
August 912,305 927,271 -14,966 -1.61%
September 688,362 707,125 -18,763 -2.65%
October 1,000,224 977,138 23,086 2.36%
November 1,096,737 1,109,063 -12,326 -1.11%
December N/A 1,486,804 N/A N/A
TOTAL 12,465,008 13,248,688 -783,680 -5.92%

Jamaica: A Rollercoaster Year for U.S. Arrivals

Jamaica continues to be a favorite of U.S. tourists, though its 2025 performance was marked by significant fluctuations. The year started strong with remarkable growth, particularly in the summer months, but November brought a staggering 67.96% decrease in arrivals, dragging the total for the year down by 8.57%. Despite this, Jamaica’s unique charm and appeal as a tropical getaway ensure it remains a top destination for U.S. travelers, with surges in interest during peak periods.

Month 2025 Originating 2024 Originating YOY Change (Absolute) YOY Change (%)
January 147,174 147,416 -242 -0.16%
February 145,496 151,158 -5,662 -3.75%
March 179,942 189,852 -9,910 -5.22%
April 162,114 149,402 12,712 8.51%
May 158,945 156,074 2,871 1.84%
June 196,881 194,802 2,079 1.07%
July 214,373 182,001 32,372 17.79%
August 160,421 151,268 9,153 6.05%
September 103,818 99,897 3,921 3.93%
October 103,992 122,885 -18,893 -15.37%
November 43,702 136,419 -92,717 -67.96%
December N/A 187,968 N/A N/A
TOTAL 1,616,858 1,768,409 -151,551 -8.57%

The Bahamas: A Challenging Year for U.S. Travel

The Bahamas, once a premier destination for U.S. tourists, is facing a decline in 2025. U.S. arrivals saw a 10.93% drop for the year, with November reflecting a 3.89% dip. The biggest setback came in the summer months, with a steep 7.81% decrease in August. While the country did see some recovery in April with an 8.86% increase, the overall trend highlights a need for the Bahamas to reassess its appeal and adapt to the changing preferences of American travelers.
Month 2025 Originating 2024 Originating YOY Change (Absolute) YOY Change (%)
January 99,524 104,301 -4,777 -4.58%
February 116,113 118,816 -2,703 -2.27%
March 159,592 162,464 -2,872 -1.77%
April 134,051 123,141 10,910 8.86%
May 123,367 125,987 -2,620 -2.08%
June 141,115 145,297 -4,182 -2.88%
July 139,910 142,023 -2,113 -1.49%
August 90,060 97,695 -7,635 -7.81%
September 38,275 41,230 -2,955 -7.17%
October 60,912 60,591 321 0.53%
November 90,077 93,727 -3,650 -3.89%
December N/A 122,317 N/A N/A
TOTAL 1,192,996 1,339,609 -146,376 -10.93%

Barbados: Resilient Tourism Holds Its Ground Despite November Dip

Barbados has maintained a steady level of U.S. tourist arrivals, with a modest 1.03% increase in 2025. The country faced a small dip of 0.44% in November but had a standout performance in July, with a 37.44% surge in visitors. Barbados’ charm and appeal remain strong, as evidenced by its growth during key months. While it didn’t experience explosive growth, its consistency and appeal to U.S. travelers position it as a solid choice for tourists looking for a mix of relaxation and adventure.

Month 2025 Originating 2024 Originating YOY Change (Absolute) YOY Change (%)
January 20,187 15,976 4,211 26.36%
February 19,317 18,316 1,001 5.47%
March 23,212 23,797 -585 -2.46%
April 23,120 20,468 2,652 12.96%
May 20,363 20,265 98 0.48%
June 23,163 19,842 3,321 16.74%
July 27,847 20,261 7,586 37.44%
August 19,910 18,952 958 5.05%
September 11,235 11,606 -371 -3.20%
October 13,808 14,187 -379 -2.67%
November 17,051 17,127 -76 -0.44%
December N/A 26,167 N/A N/A
TOTAL 229,293 226,964 2,329 1.03%

British Virgin Islands: Early Success Amid End-of-Year Slump

The British Virgin Islands saw notable growth in U.S. tourism, with a 5.49% increase in 2025. Early in the year, the island experienced substantial growth, such as the 47.19% surge in May. However, the latter part of the year saw a slight slowdown, with November showing a 6.06% decline. Despite the slower months, the British Virgin Islands remains an attractive destination, benefiting from its early-year successes. The destination’s mix of luxurious offerings and natural beauty continues to resonate with American travelers.

 

Month 2025 Originating 2024 Originating YOY Change (Absolute) YOY Change (%)
January 9,749 6,821 2,928 42.93%
February 10,022 6,977 3,045 43.64%
March 11,852 9,127 2,725 29.86%
April 9,294 6,462 2,832 43.83%
May 9,018 6,127 2,891 47.19%
June 8,527 7,709 818 10.61%
July 8,066 8,123 -57 -0.70%
August 2,908 3,107 -199 -6.40%
September 1,303 1,460 -157 -10.75%
October 3,862 4,271 -409 -9.58%
November 6,792 7,230 -438 -6.06%
December N/A 9,733 N/A N/A
TOTAL 81,393 77,147 4,236 5.49%

Haiti: U.S. Travel Plunges to Historic Lows

Haiti is grappling with a severe decline in U.S. tourist arrivals, with a staggering 98.42% drop in 2025 compared to 2024. November saw a shocking 96.56% drop, underscoring a year of severe disruption. This sharp fall suggests that Haiti is facing not just a decline in interest, but also significant barriers to travel, including safety concerns, political instability, and economic hardships. U.S. travelers seem to have largely turned away from Haiti, signaling a need for immediate and focused recovery efforts to revive the country’s tourism sector.

Month 2025 Originating 2024 Originating YOY Change (Absolute) YOY Change (%)
January 91 5,388 -5,297 -98.31%
February 57 3,853 -3,796 -98.52%
March 90 416 -326 -78.37%
April 105 126 -21 -16.67%
May 93 1,275 -1,182 -92.71%
June 87 6,071 -5,984 -98.57%
July 70 8,002 -7,932 -99.13%
August 78 8,409 -8,331 -99.07%
September 82 6,934 -6,852 -98.82%
October 97 6,331 -6,234 -98.47%
November 79 2,297 -2,218 -96.56%
December N/A 94 N/A N/A
TOTAL 779 49,146 -48,367 -98.42%

Cuba: A Rocky Road for U.S. Tourism

Cuba’s tourism numbers have faced a severe downturn in 2025, with U.S. visits dropping by 35.59% overall. November was particularly harsh, showing a 47.47% decline compared to the same month in 2024. The country’s allure as a destination for American travelers seems to have diminished, with declines spanning multiple months. Political and economic challenges, along with changing travel policies, may have contributed to this significant drop, leaving Cuba struggling to maintain its once-popular standing as a go-to spot for U.S. tourists.

Month 2025 Originating 2024 Originating YOY Change (Absolute) YOY Change (%)
January 20,032 21,654 -1,622 -7.49%
February 16,328 22,302 -5,974 -26.79%
March 19,705 27,303 -7,598 -27.83%
April 13,639 20,152 -6,513 -32.32%
May 13,355 22,044 -8,689 -39.42%
June 14,461 20,470 -6,009 -29.36%
July 13,658 20,186 -6,528 -32.34%
August 9,958 16,151 -6,193 -38.34%
September 6,977 12,591 -5,614 -44.59%
October 8,469 13,547 -5,078 -37.49%
November 9,235 17,579 -8,344 -47.47%
December N/A 21,906 N/A N/A
TOTAL 145,817 226,385 -80,568 -35.59%

Mexico joins Jamaica, Bahamas, Barbados, Virgin Islands, Cuba, and others in the Caribbean facing a sudden decline in US tourist arrivals in the last month of this year due to shifting travel trends.

Conclusion

Mexico joins Jamaica, the Bahamas, Barbados, the Virgin Islands, Cuba, and other Caribbean destinations in experiencing a sudden decline in U.S. tourist arrivals in the last month of this year. This decline can be attributed to shifting travel trends, economic factors, and changing preferences among U.S. travelers. While these destinations continue to offer unique experiences and attractions, the drop in arrivals signals the need for the tourism industry in these regions to adapt and innovate in order to maintain their appeal. Understanding these shifts is essential for both travelers and the tourism industry to navigate the changing landscape of Caribbean tourism.

Source: Travel and Tour

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